insider 21/03

Germany Bundesliga Womens
Essen W - Neuenahr W  
Neuenahr W +0ah @1.89 (sbobet)
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/germany/bundesliga-women/nextmatch.php?matchid=1455646

Essen W in injury crisis.

key defender Ina Mester(df 14/2),Sharon Beck(df 4/0),Kat Tarr(df 11/1),Catherine Leiding(df 9/0), Wolf(att 4/0) , Caroline Hamman(att 9/1) and Morina(mf 1/0) are injured
while best player Hoffmann(mf 13/4 top scorer/captain) is sick and wont play today!

"We have now nine failures. This is madness. I'm just glad that we have 18 points" said coach Mark Högner SGS.
Neuenahr have full squad available. They have some good players like Mbabi,Maier and Kuznik ...

value bet
GL



________________
21/03 usefull infos
Copa Argentina
Lanus - UAI Urquiza
huge quality diference on home side. Lanus is one of the best teams in Primera A,while UAI Urquiza is team from 5th division.
Schelotto(Lanus coach) decide to use best possible line up.
Lanus line up: Agustín Marchesín(first gk 25/0); César Borda, Carlos Izquierdoz(df 12/1), Paolo Goltz(df 23/2) y Luciano Balbi(df 5/0); Oscar Benitez(mf 15/0), Guido Pizarro(mf 23/2) y Fernando Barrientos(mf 3/0); Silvio Romero(att 19/8), Mario Regueiro(att 20/5), Ismael Blanco(att 6/2).

unavailable: Oswaldo Vizcarrondo(df 20/0) y Víctor Ayala(mf 23/3) are on international duty,while Diego González(mf 15/1), Carlos Araujo(df 18/1) y Cristian Chávez(mf 5/0) are injured

more info: http://www.clublanus.com/futbol/profesional/noticia/id/4984

UAI Irquiza squad: Ignacio Pietrobono, Ezequiel Porto, César Gurrieri, Claudio Villán, Gustavo Ortíz, Martín Ortíz, César Rodríguez, Jorge Coria, Darío Duete, Emanuel Ibañez, Gonzalo Minguillón, Damián Bogado, David Ledesma, Gabriel Garcete, Sergio Valenti, Juan Cruz Canay, Eloy Colombano, Javier Monzón y Gastón Silva.

expect home win here


Spain u21 - Norway u21
Norway national team use many youngsters in their squad so few key players from Norway u21 national team are unavailable for this match. Spain without important missings,they are big favourite in this match.


Hockey
Brno - Liberec x2 , dnb2 , liberec +0ah
Brno without Koreis(fw 46/4), Dlouhy(fw 41/3), Roman Erat(fw 55/3), Petrovicky(fw 50/9),Lušnak(fw 13/3) i  captain Radim Bičanek(df 50/9).
liberec in must win situation.

20th march usefull infos

Germany 3 Liga
Dormund II - Erfurt
Dortmund without Koray Günter(mf 16/0), Jeremy Dudziak(df 1/0) und Leonardo Bittencourt(att 11/1)
http://www.bvb.de/?%EF%8C%ECZ%1B%E7%F4%9C%5Db%EE%82%98 today Dortmund II will have help from first team Kevin Grosskreutz will be in starting line up


Germany lower division
Frankfurt II - Mainz IIMainz II will have little help from first team.



Copa Postobon
Quindio - Huila 1 @2.2 (unibet)  FT 3-2 
Quindio with strong team , Huila with mixed team
Quindio: Julián Viáfara(first gk 7/0), Cristian Peña(df 3/0), William Tesillo(df 4/0), Eduar Zea(df 5/0), Felipe Rivera(df 2/0), Luis Paz(mf 6/0), Hernando Patiño(mf 5/1), Jorge Vargas(mf 3/0), Juan Camilo Vela(mf 7/0), André Vieira(att 4/0) y Gustavo Biscayzacú(att 6/1).
http://www.copapostobon.com.co/noticia/quindio-reafirmarse-en-punta-04028
Huila: Carlos Abella(second gk 1/0); Jhon Zea(df 5/0), Mauricio Flórez(df 0/0), Camilo Mancilla(df 0/0), Joe Luis Ragua(df 1/0); Jefferson Lerma(mf 0/0), Nicolás Torres(mf 5/0), Jorge Herrera(mf 2/0), Stiven Prettel(mf 1/0); César Valoyes(att 4/0) y Cristian Cangá(att3/0).
http://www.copapostobon.com.co/noticia/atletico-huila-enfrentara-al-lider-de-su-grupo-04036

Huila will use many youngsters in starting line up,key players will be rested for league matches. Quindio with best possible line up,all players are in squad.
quality,home field ... expect home win
GL

Bucaramanga - Real Santander
Bucaramanga with pretty strong line up: Carlos Chávez(gk 7/0); Luis Rivas(df 6/1), Eimer Arévalo(df 2/0), Raúl Cuesta(df 6/0), Arnulfo Beitar(df 7/0); Cristian Correa(mf 4/0), Yeison Chacón(mf 4/0), Fabián Yantorno(mf 5/0); José Largacha(att 6/2) y Armando Carrillo(att 0/0).
http://www.copapostobon.com.co/noticia/bucaramanga-pone-su-nomina-titular-en-copa-04048
Hidalgo(att 6/3 top scorer),Mosquera(mf 7/2),Sarmiento(mf 7/1) and Martinez(df 6/1) are not in Bucaramnga's squad.

Real Santander with mixed line up: Blademir Gómez(second gk 0/0); Freddy Suárez(df 3/0), José Luis García(df 6/2), Miguel Herrera(df 3/0), Adrián Florez(df 2/0); Oscar Álvarez(mf 7/0), Nelson Camacho(mf 2/0), Sebastián Sandoval(mf 2/0), Camilo Campo(mf 7/1); Néstor Arenas(att 2/0) y Sebastián Herrera(att 7/2).
many youngsters will get chance in this match,Real Santander is worst team in Primera B


Depor FC - Deportivo Pasto
Depor FC : Jorge Mora; Jhon Timaná(df 1/0), Felipe Burgos(df 1/0), José Barriosnuevos(df 2/0), Jorge Martínez(df 2/0); Steven Lucumí(att 3/1), Wilmer Largacha(mf 1/0), Wilder Salazar(mf 4/0), Edier Tello, Nelson Ortiz(att 2/0) y Luis Miguel Arango(att 3/0).
Dep.Pasto :  Oscar Ramos(second gk 0/0); Éder Rúales(df 3/0), Omar Mancilla(df 1/0 ,18years), Jerry Mina, Nelson Coral(mf 0/0 ,19years); Fabri Castro(mf 0/0 ,21year), Fram Pacheco(mf 2/0); Humberto Marquinez(mf 2/0), Juan Sebastián Villota(mf 6/1), Álvaro Barros(att 1/0); Juan Guillermo Vélez(att 4/0).



Santa Fe - Expreso Rojo
Santa Fe probable formation: Juan Manuel Leyton, Jairo Suarez, John Chaverra, Hector Urrego, Hugo Acosta, Juan Daniel Roa, Gerardo Bedoya, Norbey Salazar, Juan Guillermo Pedroza; Danilo Moreno and Fernando Cardenas.

Substitutes: Ramiro Sanchez, Didier Moreno, Jorge Luis Ramos, Germán González and Luis Paez.

Expreso Rojo line up: Carlos Lasprilla(second gk 2/0), Andrés Mora(att 3/0), Jhon Rivas(df 6/0), Luis del Risco(df 6/0), Alan Mosquera(df 5/0), Peter Zipacón(mf 5/0), Dámaso Asprilla(mf 4/0), Oscar Morera(mf 6/0), Raúl López(mf 0/0), Wilson Palacio(att 7/1) y Jonathan Carabalí(at 7/1).


Once Caldas - Fortaleza
Once Caldas with mixed team: Juan Carlos Henao(gk 3/0), Jamell Ramos(df 0/0), Pablo Frontini, Jhonatan Lopera(df 7/0), Mauricio Casierra(df 6/0), Lucas Scaglia(mf 6/0), Mario González(mf 6/1), Jhon Fredy Ambuila(att 1/0), Gonzalo Cabrera(mf 7/2), Sergio Herrera(att 1/0) y Sergio Romero(att 7/2).

Fortaleza with strong team: César Giraldo(gk 6/0); Ómar Rodríguez(df 7/0), Maximiliano Flotta(df 6/0), Jhon Sandoval(df 7/0), Francisco Delgado(df 5/1); Óscar Rueda(mf 6/0), Misael Camargo(mf 5/0), Christian Pareja(mf 6/1), Jhonny Acosta(mf 1/0), Ethan González(att 6/1) y Óscar Móvil(att 4/1)
http://www.copapostobon.com.co/noticia/fortaleza-fc-tendra-cambios-en-el-ataque-04050

strong infos

Copa Postobon

Patriotas - Cucuta DNB1 @1.83 (bet365) or 1 @2.63 (bet365)  FT 2-1 
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/colombia/copa-postobon/patriotas-cucuta-1571474/#dnb;2

Patriotas still without win in Copa Postobon,that is the reason why Patriotas's coach today decide to go with strong squad
Patriotas line up: Nicolás Vikonis(first gk 7/0); David Murillo(df 5/0), Alexis González(df 4/0), Andrés Arboleda(df 5/0), Giovanni García(df 5/0) ; Jhon Hernández(mf 7/1), José Amaya(mf 5/0), Larry Vásquez(mf 5/0), Jonathan Estrada(mf 6/0); Jamillacson Palacios(att 6/0) y Orlando Berrío(att 5/2).

http://www.copapostobon.com.co/noticia/patriotas-por-su-primer-triunfo-04027

all key players are IN squad for this match,only Gonzales(att 5/4 top scorer) is injured! in this cup matches usually teams use reserves,mixed teams or juniors ... so with this line up Patriotas is big favourite.

Cucuta with B team on this trip.

rested will be: Estacio(first gk 7/0),Rivas(df 6/0),Bustos(df 4/0),Castillo(df 4/0),Payares(df 7/1),Figoli(mf 7/0),Soria(mf 6/3),Florez(mf 6/0),Quintero(mf 6/0),Mendoza(att 7/3),Hernandez(att 7/3),Uribe(att 4/0) -all important first team players.

check squad here: http://www.cucutadeportivo.com.co/noticias/Rumbo-a-Tunja-para-afrontar-la-cuarta-fecha-de-la-Copa-Postob%C3%B3n/2089

so quality,home field,fans and experience on home ground

also forgot to write that Patriotas will have home field advantage because they are from Tunja (over 2000 metres altitude) ,while Cucuta is from Cucuta(only 300 metres altitude) ...



NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat , Heat -10ah @1.91 (bwin)
http://www.betexplorer.com/basketball/usa/nba/nextmatch.php?matchid=1410522&section=ah-odds

Cleveland without 3 best players. 
Anderson Varejao(C 14ppg,14rpg,3apg) and Luke Harangody(PF) are long time injured, new missings are Kyrie Irving(PG 23ppg,4rpg,6apg) and Dion Waiters(SG 15ppg,2rpg,3apg).

Varejao,Irving and Waiters imo 3 best players (3 top scorers) in home team are unavailable ,without them Cleveland is 50% weaker!

Miami in amazing run,they have 23 wins in a row i dont think that weakned Cavaliers can stop them.
GL

Copa Postobon
Medellin - Itagui , Medellin -0,25ah @1.76 (188bet)  FT 1-0 

Medellin with best possible line up because they want to be in next stage on Copa Postobon,this is important competition for them.

Medellin line up: Leandro Castellanos(gk 7/0); Daniel Bocanegra(df 7/0), Diego Hérner(df 7/1), Jefferson Mena(df 7/1), Jorge Arias(df 6/0); Jhon Viáfara(mf 7/0), Julián Guillermo(mf 3/0) ; Felipe Pardo(att 5/1), Giovanni Hernández(mf 7/2), Cleider Alzate(mf 7/0); Germán Cano(att 1/0).

Itagui with B team: Kevin Piedrahita(gk 3/0); Gerardo Vallejo(df 1/0), Felipe Correa(df 5/20, Jhonny Mesa(df 0/0), Elvis Mosquera(df 0/0); Geiler Mosquera(mf 2/0), James Castro(mf 2/0); Mauricio Gómez(mf 1/0), Andrés Ricaurte(mf 3/0); Víctor Asprilla(att 1/0) y Cristian Nazarith(att 4/0).

Itagui will rest important players like Quinones(att 7/3 top scorer),Aguirre(att 7/3 top scorer),Restrepo(mf 7/0),Vasquez(mf 5/0),Rodriguez(df 7/0) and Arboleda(df 7/0).

expect home win. odds dropping fast.

usefull infos 19/03

France National
Amiens - Metz
Amines squad: Ruffier, Diop- Mainfroi, Lybohy, M’Bow, Ielsch, Baudry, Pierre-Charles- Paul, Puyo, Pouye,  Lacourt, Ciaravino- Bazile, Kodjia, Koubemba, Sanches.

Entraineur Francis De Taddeo.

http://www.amiensfootball.com/liste-des-actualites/page-article/article/national-match-en-retard-28e-journee-amiens-sc-metz.htmlAmines without: first gk Hostis(15/0) is suspended Miennel(df 17/2), Beynie(mf 15/1) et Belson(mf 5/0) are injured.

Metz without: Martin(mf 0/0),Le(df 4/0) and BUssman(df 26/3)
on this link you can check Metz squad http://www.fcmetz.com/article/Br%C3%A8ves/2013-03-18-16-11-53_le-groupe-pour-amiens--metz-.html key players are in squad.


Boulogne - Quevilly
Boulogne squad:

Gardiens : Regis Gurtner, Ibrahim Koné.

Défenseurs : Ismaël Gace, Malamine Diarra, Cédric Fabien, Alexandre Vardin, Issou Dao. 

Milieux : Ngolo Kanté, Guillaume Ducatel, Benjamin Boulenger, Guillaume Loriot, Kévin Rimane.

Attaquants : Jonathan Téhoué, Mauricio Alves Peruchi, Mohamed Chemlal, Jordan Mignon.Chadili(mf 10/5),Oliveira(mf 20/0),Diarra(mf 21/0) and Gadi(att 18/6 one of top scorers) are not in squad.


Handball Sweden
Aranas - Skovde
big shock in home team,Aranas didn't get licence for Eliteserien next season probably they will play in 2nd division (source local newspaper) ... no motivation if they relegate


CSKA Sofia - Levski Sofia
Tip:2
Odd:1.83
Sport: Volleyball
League: Bulgaria Superliga  FT 2-3 


CSKA will play with 15 years old playmaker in this game!
Must bet!

by steven.

monday

good weekend in vip
all 3 picks won :) currently profit +22units with 134% ROI (+34% yield)



NBA
Utah - New York
utah -8ah @1.91 (bwin) small stakes

Knicks have a lot of problems with form and injuries! 4 lost matches in a row..
Baron Davies(PG) is long term injured,Rasheed Wallace(PF 7ppg,4rpg) and Amare Stoudemire(PF 14ppg,5rpg) are also injured for this match.
two key players, Tyson Chandler(C 11ppg,11rpg,1apg) and Carmelo Anthony(28ppg,6rpg,3apg) are questionable for this match.
if Anthony and Chandler cant play than i expect easy home win because this two players together with Stoudemire score around 50% of all team points ... 

Utah dont have problems with injuries. Utah need points for play off,they should win this match.



Argentina B
Defensa y Justica - Almirante Brown , +0ah almirante @2.35 (bet365)
home team without 3 first team players,one of them very important. Perez(mf 17/0) and main player Milla(att 23/13 top scorer) are injured,while Tejera(df 14/1) is suspended.


Rosario - Olimpio Bahia
Rosario with full squad,no important missigns. http://www.rosariocentral.com/prensa/noticia/id/1411/lista-de-concentrados-para-la-25--fecha
Olimpio Bahia miss Furrios(df 23/0) and Gutierez(mf 23/4 ,2nd scorer)
http://aurinegro.com.ar/el-equipo/soto-torres-vuelve-a-concentrar/
http://aurinegro.com.ar/entrenamiento-2/leonardo-gil-se-quedo-en-el-hotel/


Ferro - Douglas Haig
Ferro squad: Jorge Carranza, Carlos De Giorgi, Leandro Martínez Montagnoli, Marcelo Berza, Pablo De Moranda, Marcos Sánchez, Franco Cerviño, Julio Illanes, Juan Larrea, Marcos Acuña, Israel Coll, Brian Aquino, Mauro Bottari, Guillermo Vernetti, Luciano Insúa, Facundo Vera, Osvaldo Miranda, Adriano Fariña y Nicolás Capellino.

strong infos

Spain Segunda
Real Murcia - Lugo 1 @1.93 (188bet)
Lugo in problems for this match.
Pavon(df 25/0),Rey(mf 5/0),Font(mf 19/1),Guayre(mf 20/0),Perez(mf 8/0) and Quiroga(att 3/1) are injured. best player,main power O.Diaz(att 25/12 top scorer) is suspended for this match!! without O.Diaz Lugo is totally different team you will see that today ..
Murcia miss only Jorge(df 22/0). good news for Murcia: Dos santos(df 17/0) and Garcia(mf 23/6) are back in team
Murcia need win to escape from dangerous zone,they will play on home ground in front of their fans,Lugo is much weakned so i belive that Murcia will win this one.



Croatia 1 NHL
Zadar - Hajduk Split , zadar +0ah @2.2 (bet365)
Zadar is fighting to avoid relegation,they desperate need win in this match ... they will be highly motivated to win today.
Hajduk Split isnt strong anymore like last season.. before start of season they have financial problems and many important players left team now Hajduk Split have young and talented team.
for this match Hajduk Split have huuuuge problems with absences..
Maglica(att 12/4), Oremuš(mf 19/0), Tomaš(mf 4/0), Milović(df 18/0), Jonjić(df 7/1), Maloča(df 18/0), Ozobić(mf 6/0), Andrijašević(mf 21/5) and Blažević(first gk 23/0) are all unavailable!
i think Zadar can do something in this match!



Greece 
Kerkyra - Olympiakos
5 rounds till the end of season Olympiakos won the title and now they can be relaxed.
Kerkyra is last on table with 20pts ,they have chances to avoid relegation but they need to win this match and i think they will.

if match is "clear" than Olympiakos should won this easily but i dont believe that match will be clear. this two clubs are in good relationships and i think that Olympiakos now will help to their "friends" (Kerkyra).


last season situation was the same 4 rounds till the end of season Kerkyra desperate need points and win to stay in league and look what happened
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/greece/super-league-2011-2012/matchdetails.php?matchid=872490
Olympaikos 0-1 Kerkyra (goal in 80minute) odds for away win around 18.00
situation on table before that match http://www.statto.com/football/stats/greece/super-league/2011-2012/table/2012-04-01
at the end Olympiakos won title and Kerkyra stay in league ...

good relationships + home field + home fans + away team isnt motivated ...

only problems are missings in home team
Kerkyra without Monteiro(first gk 25/0 suspended),Gesios(att 8/3 suspended) and Iliadis(mf 21/0 suspended) + injured Gianstis(att 16/1) and Boukouvalas(df 20/0)
Olympiakos without main midifler Ibagaza(mf 20/0).

odds are very good i must try this bet.
my picks for this match:
1x @3.25 (bet365)
kerkyra +0ah @7.89 (10bet) ; 7.20 (bet365)



Basket Spain
Juventud - Caja Laboral , Caja Laboral -6ah @1.90 (sportingbet)http://www.betexplorer.com/basketball/spain/acb/nextmatch.php?matchid=1420183&section=ah-odds
quality on Caja Laboral's side. Caja Laboral is currently 2nd on table ,before 2 rounds they beat strong Barcelona!! Players's selfconfidence is high and they are highly motivated,they want to keep that 2nd place. for this match they dont have injuries.
Junventud is one average team in financial problems!! Wages are late and players are demotivated.. because of that reason Gaffney(PF 11,5ppg) refuse to play and left club!!
for this match Juventud without 3 very important players Gaffney(PF 11,5ppg), Fisher(C 13,7ppg) and Kuzmic(C 7,2ppg) .. Gaffney and Fisher are main players in Juventud without them Juventud is much weaker!!!
expect easy away win!




Germany Bundesliga
Moenchengladbach - Hannover 2 @4.00 (tipico) ; 3.96 (5dimes)
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/germany/bundesliga/nextmatch.php?matchid=1366467

i strongly belive that this two teams are cooperating!


h2h  is excellent.

Head-to-head: B. Moenchengladbach - HannoverallNational League
Bundesliga 2012/2013
Hannover	B. Moenchengladbach	2:3	1.75	3.63	4.58	details	28.10.2012
Bundesliga 2011/2012
Hannover	B. Moenchengladbach	2:1	2.67	3.30	2.59	details	01.04.2012
B. Moenchengladbach	Hannover	2:1	1.93	3.46	3.87	details	29.10.2011
Bundesliga 2010/2011
Hannover	B. Moenchengladbach	0:1	1.71	3.73	4.63	details	30.04.2011
B. Moenchengladbach	Hannover	1:2	2.17	3.46	3.16	details	04.12.2010
Bundesliga 2009/2010
Hannover	B. Moenchengladbach	6:1	1.82	3.60	4.08	details	01.05.2010
B. Moenchengladbach	Hannover	5:3	2.07	3.30	3.49	details	12.12.2009
Bundesliga 2008/2009
B. Moenchengladbach	Hannover	3:2	2.22	3.29	3.16	details	21.02.2009
Hannover	B. Moenchengladbach	5:1	1.88	3.36	3.95	details	14.09.2008

presidets
Moenchengladbach president is Rolf Konigs ,he is long time in club.
Hannover president is Martin Kind ,he is also long time in club.
so there wasnt changing,good for pick.


helping
this two teams helps each other sometimes when some team need points
in 2008/09 Moenchengladbach 3-2 Hannover
table before that match  http://www.statto.com/football/stats/germany/bundesliga/2008-2009/table/2009-02-15 Moenchengladbach last on table and desperate need win,Hannover helps them!

in 2009/10 Hannover 6-1 Moenchengladbach
table before that match http://www.statto.com/football/stats/germany/bundesliga/2009-2010/table/2010-04-25  2 rounds till end of season Hannover desperate need win to escape from relegation zone,of course Moenchengladbach helps them!

in 2010/11 Hannover 0-1 Moenchengladbach
table before that match http://www.statto.com/football/stats/germany/bundesliga/2010-2011/table/2011-04-24 3 rounds till end of season Moenchengladbach is in relegation zone they need win to stay in league,Hannover is 3rd. Moenchengladbach gets help from Hannover and stay in league!


suspecious matches
ht/ft 1/2 click to see ht 1-0 ,than red card for home team ; ft 1-2
odds for away win 5.00 click to see ft 0-1
over 6,5 goals click to see ft 6-1 ,home team need points to stay in league.


missings (injuries/suepnsions)
only problem are missings in away team.
Hannover without Radlinger(gk 0/0), Cherundolo(df 15/0), Eggimann(df 19/1), Felipe(df 3/1), Schulze , Andreasen(mf 4/2), Aycicek(mf 0/0), Franca(mf0/0), Gießelmann(df 0/0), Huszti(mf 21/9), Schünemann(mf 0/0) and Stindl(mf 14/2)

but if they are cooperating no matter of those missings Hannover will win.